Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.030778 0.033110 0.035443 0.037947 0.040557 0.043193 0.046053
2025-09-21 0.025702 0.029349 0.033124 0.037308 0.041799 0.046461 0.051652
2025-09-28 0.022268 0.026599 0.031198 0.036410 0.042122 0.048162 0.055001
2025-10-05 0.020785 0.025736 0.031098 0.037281 0.044162 0.051535 0.059985
2025-10-12 0.019276 0.024683 0.030648 0.037635 0.045517 0.054061 0.063955
2025-10-19 0.017650 0.023368 0.029790 0.037426 0.046152 0.055714 0.066891
2025-10-26 0.017008 0.023133 0.030112 0.038507 0.048195 0.058901 0.071503
2025-11-02 0.015954 0.022336 0.029721 0.038714 0.049199 0.060882 0.074734
2025-11-09 0.014827 0.021385 0.029092 0.038592 0.049780 0.062348 0.077354
2025-11-16 0.013856 0.020568 0.028576 0.038563 0.050432 0.063867 0.080008
2025-11-23 0.012762 0.019542 0.027758 0.038128 0.050573 0.064768 0.081931
2025-11-30 0.011884 0.018742 0.027180 0.037948 0.050985 0.065958 0.084167
2025-12-07 0.010747 0.017608 0.026213 0.037349 0.050978 0.066765 0.086095
2025-12-14 0.009650 0.016484 0.025232 0.036721 0.050941 0.067554 0.088040
2025-12-21 0.008549 0.015280 0.024086 0.035831 0.050538 0.067871 0.089395
2025-12-28 0.008244 0.015162 0.024339 0.036694 0.052271 0.070727 0.093741
2026-01-04 0.007767 0.014770 0.024205 0.037044 0.053359 0.072803 0.097159
2026-01-11 0.007122 0.014092 0.023659 0.036838 0.053735 0.074004 0.099528
2026-01-18 0.006977 0.014147 0.024098 0.037908 0.055708 0.077142 0.104215
2026-01-25 0.006547 0.013742 0.023889 0.038113 0.056580 0.078936 0.107287
2026-02-01 0.006040 0.013188 0.023447 0.037992 0.057025 0.080197 0.109712
2026-02-08 0.005598 0.012707 0.023087 0.037963 0.057573 0.081575 0.112273
2026-02-15 0.005069 0.012048 0.022447 0.037533 0.057589 0.082284 0.114012